Last updated: Jan 8, 2026
GOLD (GLD)
Gold market data reflects a largely neutral and mixed setup: ETF flows are near typical levels (1.01× the 30-day average), indicating no strong accumulation or distribution. Spot price is $4,472.23, down -1.8% over 7 days, with elevated volatility (1.79× normal). Futures positioning shows managed money holding 126,245 net short contracts, reflecting moderately bearish sentiment. ETF vs spot performance shows a -5.16% divergence, pointing to potential ETF selling pressure.
"Gold markets show neutral positioning with mixed signals across ETF flows, futures positioning, and spot momentum. No strong accumulation or distribution patterns detected."
Market Dynamics
Explanation
ETF flows at average levels with 1.0x typical volume, mixed accumulation signals, price stable with -1.8% decline over 7 days, volatility elevated at 1.79x normal levels
What’s happening right now
↔ ETF flows 1.0x at average levels • price volatility elevated 1.79x • volume activity decreasing • price stable -1.8% over 7 days • no significant divergence
Why this pattern matters historically
Current neutral pattern with score 24.46 and NONE signal contrasts with historical MODERATE signals that showed 60% success rates at 5% gains and average 30-day returns of 8.85%. Markets showing alignment across multiple indicators historically perform better than current mixed-signal environment.
What data is behind this?
ETF Volume Ratio: 1.01×
vs 30-day average
Volume Trend: DECREASING
Price Change (7d): -1.8%
7-day change
Pattern: STABLE
Volatility Ratio: 1.79×
vs baseline
Current: 1.79×
Historical Outcomes Following NONE Signals
| Horizon | Avg Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1 Day | 0.09% |
| 7 Days | 1.21% |
| 30 Days | 5.78% |
Past outcomes are shown for educational context only and do not imply future performance.
Understanding the Data
- •Shows average price movement following similar signals
- •30-day horizon typically shows strongest outcomes
- •Data based on historical patterns, not future predictions